Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -4000 MONM +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +17 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -23.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -22.8 (-5.8) | 145.6 (+33.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -22.0 (-5.0) | 143.6 (+35.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -19.0 (-2.0) | 145.1 (+33.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -16.3 (+0.7) | 145.8 (+33.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 8-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#105) | -10.3 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#131) | -1.54 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#125) | -2.23 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#240) | 0.306 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 30.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 36.0% |
| TOV% | 11.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.1% | 38.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.