Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -270 TCU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -10.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -6.1 (+5.9) | 143.9 (-3.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -8.4 (+3.6) | 144.1 (-4.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -7.2 (+4.8) | 146.1 (-6.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -7.9 (+4.1) | 144.3 (-4.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | MICH 67 – 63 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#27) | 8.4 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#172) | 1.24 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#144) | 1.79 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#146) | 0.639 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.3% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.0% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 60.8% | 84.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.