Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | TCU +290 MICH -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -0.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.9 (-43.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -0.4 (-4.4) | 157.9 (-27.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -1.5 (-5.5) | 159.4 (-29.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -1.9 (-5.9) | 158.9 (-28.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -3.0 (-7.0) | 160.4 (-30.4) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | MICH 76 – 64 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 37-3 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 19-1 |
| Home | 14-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 12-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 87.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#171) | 9.3 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#297) | 1.67 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#303) | 1.90 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.268 (#344) | 0.688 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 55.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 2.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 64.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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