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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–5 on winners spread MAE 6.4 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Alabama @ Bradley +5.5 147.6 69% 62–71 ✓
Furman @ North Texas +8.7 126.9 78% 64–75 ✓
Northern Iowa @ SMU +9.9 146.4 82% 63–73 ✓
Xavier @ Texas +0.2 154.4 51% 86–80 ✗
Northern Colorado @ UC Irvine +9.4 150.4 80% 72–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ San Francisco +8.8 142.1 79% 70–79 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ San José State -0.9 142.8 47% 73–70 ✓
Creighton @ Louisville +2.5 148.0 59% 89–75 ✗
High Point @ Purdue +9.9 152.5 82% 63–75 ✓
Montana @ Wisconsin +17.4 153.2 94% 66–85 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Houston +25.9 126.1 99% 40–78 ✓
Alabama State @ Auburn +31.9 151.1 100% 63–83 ✓
McNeese @ Clemson +6.1 137.1 71% 69–67 ✗
VCU @ BYU +1.8 148.2 56% 71–80 ✓
Georgia @ Gonzaga +6.3 152.1 72% 68–89 ✓
Wofford @ Tennessee +17.8 132.3 95% 62–77 ✓
Arkansas @ Kansas +4.4 144.3 66% 79–72 ✗
Yale @ Texas A&M +8.2 143.5 77% 71–80 ✓
Drake @ Missouri +6.6 136.4 73% 67–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.