Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–6 on winners spread MAE 14.5 21 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Quinnipiac @ Stonehill +3.6 136.9 63% 102–95 ✗
Towson @ Massachusetts +21.6 144.0 98% 67–55 ✗
Colgate @ Brown +11.0 154.1 84% 77–68 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Rutgers +16.0 133.3 93% 50–88 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Penn State +15.2 147.2 92% 65–90 ✓
Western Carolina @ Maryland +17.3 129.2 94% 51–71 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas +19.4 143.4 96% 59–82 ✓
Texas Southern @ Texas Tech +17.8 143.4 95% 54–78 ✓
Illinois State @ Eastern Illinois +16.7 142.0 94% 54–49 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Oklahoma State +8.0 147.9 77% 61–60 ✗
Omaha @ Nebraska +17.7 146.9 95% 61–75 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Indiana +27.0 143.5 99% 49–101 ✓
North Dakota @ Creighton +5.9 132.1 71% 61–96 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas +13.8 138.2 89% 31–82 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Arizona State +12.5 131.3 87% 68–84 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Santa Clara +14.3 136.1 90% 62–78 ✓
Vermont @ Saint Mary's +12.6 145.3 87% 53–79 ✓
Alabama State @ USC +13.0 150.7 88% 58–96 ✓
UAB @ Toledo -7.4 159.2 25% 85–93 ✗
Boston University @ UConn +22.0 138.9 98% 57–86 ✓
Michigan State @ Gonzaga +5.7 145.5 70% 63–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.