Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -2000 TXSO +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +24 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -17.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -17.2 (+6.8) | 139.8 (-7.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -13.3 (+10.7) | 143.8 (-11.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#88) | 0.7 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#54) | -0.36 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#63) | -0.50 (#190) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 24.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.8% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 30.1% | 11.9% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 16.3% |
| FT Rate | 39.1% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 29.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 1.5% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.