Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -700 GASO +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -14.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -14.1 (+1.9) | 139.4 (+0.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -10.7 (+5.3) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-3 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#172) | 0.0 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#49) | -0.36 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#102) | -0.51 (#200) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 26.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 50.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 30.4% |
| TOV% | 12.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 85.4% | 87.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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