This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Pizzitola Sports Center · November 11, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread COLG -6.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money BRWN +250 / COLG -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRWN win
Actual COLG +9 145 Lost
Massey BRWN -10.4 (-19.4) — —
Massey Totals — 154.2 (-9.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BRWN -2.3 (-11.3) 150.2 (-5.2) 61% ✗
Baseline ML BRWN -2.6 (-11.6) 146.7 (-1.7) 60% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 7, 2023 COLG 72 – 70 BRWN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRWN COLG
Overall 14-13 26-9
Conference 7-7 17-1
Home 7-5 14-2
Away 7-8 11-4
Neutral 0-0 1-3
Last 5 0-1 0-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.6 77.6
Avg Pts Against 69.3 69.6
Massey 0.0 (#143) 4.7 (#52)
Bradley-Terry -0.36 (#164) -0.36 (#205)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.51 (#197) -0.24 (#148)
RPI — —
Shooting & Four Factors BRWN COLG
FG% 44.2% 53.6%
3PT% 33.3% 35.7%
REB / G 25.0 34.0
OREB / G 5.0 3.0
AST / TO 0.56 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 58.0%
TOV% 22.4% 21.9%
ORB% 16.1% 12.5%
FT Rate 25.0% 39.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 63.5% 58.5%
Opp TOV% 23.6% 16.4%
DRB% 83.3% 91.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.9% 18.5%

Game Analysis

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