We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Pinnacle Bank Arena · November 11, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -17.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money NEB -2000 / OMA +1300
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual NEB +14 136 Won
Massey NEB -17.7 (-3.7) — —
Massey Totals — 146.9 (-10.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline ML NEB -17.4 (-3.4) 143.6 (-7.6) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -14.3 (-0.3) 144.7 (-8.7) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB OMA
Overall 16-16 9-23
Conference 9-11 4-14
Home 11-4 5-7
Away 4-9 1-15
Neutral 1-3 3-1
Last 5 1-0 0-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.0 67.4
Avg Pts Against 69.9 76.3
Massey -0.7 (#164) -3.3 (#208)
Bradley-Terry 0.36 (#38) -0.36 (#226)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.50 (#95) -0.55 (#224)
RPI — —
Shooting & Four Factors NEB OMA
FG% 46.2% 38.6%
3PT% 31.8% 23.8%
REB / G 44.0 28.0
OREB / G 16.0 8.0
AST / TO 0.92 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 43.0%
TOV% 18.7% 18.3%
ORB% 42.1% 22.9%
FT Rate 18.5% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.2% 58.7%
Opp TOV% 21.5% 13.0%
DRB% 84.8% 55.6%
Opp FT Rate 3.6% 11.6%

Game Analysis

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