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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
14–5 on winners
spread MAE 9.6
19 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Radford
@
Norfolk State
|
+8.5 | 146.6 | 78% | 54–57 | ✓ |
Nicholls
@
Santa Clara
|
+1.7 | 141.7 | 56% | 57–73 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Oklahoma State
|
+19.4 | 131.6 | 96% | 65–85 | ✓ |
Virginia Tech
@
Villanova
|
+5.6 | 144.1 | 69% | 81–73 | ✗ |
UMass Lowell
@
Ohio State
|
+21.0 | 152.2 | 97% | 64–74 | ✓ |
Richmond
@
Kentucky
|
+16.9 | 140.1 | 94% | 76–64 | ✗ |
Lipscomb
@
Tulane
|
+9.8 | 140.2 | 81% | 66–68 | ✓ |
Mount St. Mary's
@
Maryland
|
+19.7 | 135.5 | 96% | 61–79 | ✓ |
Northwestern State
@
Louisiana Tech
|
+17.8 | 153.2 | 95% | 77–91 | ✓ |
Boise State
@
Sam Houston
|
-12.7 | 138.9 | 12% | 86–55 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Air Force
|
-6.3 | 142.3 | 28% | 63–45 | ✓ |
Liberty
@
TCU
|
+2.4 | 138.1 | 59% | 52–56 | ✓ |
Houston Christian
@
Arizona State
|
+19.0 | 147.1 | 96% | 77–100 | ✓ |
Arkansas State
@
Morehead State
|
+2.7 | 134.3 | 60% | 61–69 | ✓ |
Jacksonville State
@
South Alabama
|
+4.9 | 135.1 | 67% | 77–73 | ✗ |
Texas Tech
@
Houston
|
-0.8 | 137.4 | 47% | 53–64 | ✗ |
San Francisco
@
Rhode Island
|
-0.4 | 145.7 | 49% | 71–84 | ✗ |
Oakland
@
Michigan
|
+29.2 | 155.2 | 100% | 71–81 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Louisville
|
+20.7 | 133.6 | 97% | 64–86 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.