Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | UK -330 RICH +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +12 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -15.8 (-27.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UK -9.2 (-21.2) | 138.2 (+1.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -9.1 (-21.1) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 14-9 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 6-5 |
| Home | 5-6 | 6-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#42) | 4.0 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#109) | 0.98 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#106) | 1.44 (#41) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.9% | 55.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.0% | 61.1% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 44.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 7.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.0% | 25.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 81.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 10.3% |
Game Analysis
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