Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | OKST -4500 TXSO +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +20 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -19.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -12.7 (+7.3) | 136.4 (+13.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -10.8 (+9.2) | 134.8 (+15.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-3 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#17) | 3.2 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#4) | -0.46 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#5) | -0.56 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#54) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 29.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 54.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 33.6% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 33.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 6.4% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 85.1% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.7% | 46.0% |
Game Analysis
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