Betting Lines
| Spread | ARST -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | MORE +135 ARST -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +8 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -3.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARST -1.4 (+9.4) | 135.4 (-5.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARST -0.9 (+8.9) | 134.3 (-4.3) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | MORE 75 – 51 ARST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#209) | -0.1 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#188) | -0.46 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#189) | -0.68 (#150) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 21.6% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 40.9% |
| TOV% | 27.5% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 13.0% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.1% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 81.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.5% | 10.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.