Rhode Island
Rams
84
–
71
FINAL
Neutral
Air Force Reserve Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Classic
San Francisco
Dons
Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | URI -130 SF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | URI -0.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -0.3 (+13.3) | 142.7 (+12.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -1.4 (+14.4) | 141.7 (+13.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -0.8 (+13.8) | 144.3 (+10.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -0.1 (+13.1) | 143.6 (+11.4) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 4-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#121) | -0.4 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#186) | -0.12 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#182) | -0.82 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.208 (#130) | 0.410 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 37.0% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 42.4% | 37.3% |
Game Analysis
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