Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -27.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -21.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -14.3 (-4.3) | 150.2 (-12.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -14.1 (-4.1) | 153.4 (-15.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -13.8 (-3.8) | 151.0 (-13.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 3-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#31) | -0.4 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#32) | 0.56 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#17) | 0.67 (#82) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.542 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 40.6% | 44.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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