Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | LT -2400 NWST +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +14 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | LT -18.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -9.8 (+4.2) | 146.2 (+21.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -10.8 (+3.2) | 148.2 (+19.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -10.1 (+3.9) | 151.2 (+16.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | LT 83 – 64 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#178) | -10.1 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#106) | -2.14 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#102) | -3.19 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#54) | 0.250 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 36.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 17.5% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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