Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | TULN +100 LIP -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -9.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -6.1 (-4.1) | 138.9 (-4.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -6.1 (-4.1) | 139.2 (-5.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -6.2 (-4.2) | 136.9 (-2.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-13 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 9-6 |
| Home | 6-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#181) | -2.0 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#110) | 0.93 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#109) | 1.14 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#54) | 0.500 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.3% | 55.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 47.6% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.3% | 64.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 13.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 11.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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