Villanova
Wildcats
73
–
81
OT
FINAL
Neutral
Air Force Reserve Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Classic
Virginia Tech
Hokies
Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | VILL -450 VT +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +8 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | VILL -6.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -2.1 (-10.1) | 139.8 (+14.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -3.1 (-11.1) | 142.0 (+12.0) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 15-7 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Home | 9-0 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#40) | 0.4 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#5) | 0.46 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.60 (#7) | 0.68 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.938 (#6) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 42.3% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 83.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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