Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 120.0 Under |
| Money | TCU -210 LIB +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +4 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -2.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -1.3 (+2.7) | 137.3 (-29.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -1.8 (+2.2) | 136.5 (-28.5) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 23-6 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 11-2 |
| Home | 6-7 | 13-0 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#65) | 1.4 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#82) | 0.08 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#73) | -0.10 (#118) |
| RPI | — | 0.354 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 42.3% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 23.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 63.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 9.8% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.8% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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