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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
14–4 on winners
spread MAE 8.6
18 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Carolina
@
Clemson
|
+5.9 | 147.7 | 72% | 65–85 | ✓ |
Southern
@
Alabama State
|
-3.1 | 142.9 | 34% | 81–82 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Prairie View A&M
|
+1.1 | 148.4 | 41% | 78–67 | ✗ |
Mississippi Valley State
@
Alcorn State
|
+18.3 | 130.5 | 90% | 39–86 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
McNeese
|
+20.3 | 134.5 | 90% | 51–67 | ✓ |
Northwestern State
@
Nicholls
|
+6.8 | 133.9 | 80% | 72–60 | ✗ |
UT Rio Grande Valley
@
Stephen F. Austin
|
+1.5 | 144.4 | 63% | 75–85 | ✓ |
New Orleans
@
Incarnate Word
|
+8.6 | 145.6 | 80% | 65–75 | ✓ |
Howard
@
Maryland Eastern Shore
|
-6.2 | 143.0 | 25% | 77–57 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Jackson State
|
+14.0 | 156.7 | 88% | 78–94 | ✓ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Texas Southern
|
+0.3 | 143.4 | 47% | 80–77 | ✗ |
Grambling
@
Alabama A&M
|
-2.8 | 138.2 | 34% | 72–61 | ✓ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
Lamar
|
+1.3 | 139.3 | 58% | 56–67 | ✓ |
SE Louisiana
@
Houston Christian
|
-0.6 | 138.4 | 42% | 69–60 | ✓ |
North Carolina A&T
@
Campbell
|
+12.6 | 143.0 | 87% | 62–66 | ✓ |
Baylor
@
Houston
|
+10.9 | 136.2 | 83% | 65–76 | ✓ |
Charlotte
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+11.5 | 152.4 | 86% | 75–87 | ✓ |
Fresno State
@
Nevada
|
+17.2 | 148.0 | 88% | 69–94 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.