Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–7 on winners spread MAE 9.2 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Syracuse @ North Carolina +11.2 152.1 86% 77–87 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alabama State +1.2 139.7 59% 66–79 ✓
Boston University @ Holy Cross +0.5 141.4 47% 72–64 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Lamar +5.5 135.3 71% 54–73 ✓
Houston Christian @ UT Rio Grande Valley +9.7 140.3 82% 57–74 ✓
Nicholls @ Northwestern State +0.3 142.8 52% 61–58 ✗
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin +1.6 139.7 59% 60–67 ✓
New Orleans @ East Texas A&M -2.7 144.9 39% 94–85 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama A&M +0.2 144.9 38% 80–62 ✗
Southern @ Jackson State -3.9 147.8 35% 96–91 ✓
Grambling @ Alcorn State -3.9 142.1 38% 74–50 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State +9.2 150.1 84% 90–85 ✗
Kansas @ Texas Tech +3.0 149.9 62% 64–61 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +5.3 133.6 71% 71–69 ✗
Weber State @ Sacramento State -1.3 157.5 51% 90–104 ✗
Idaho State @ Portland State +5.9 135.6 75% 65–88 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo -5.1 163.8 24% 73–71 ✓
Akron @ Eastern Michigan -10.1 152.5 22% 66–64 ✓
Canisius @ Niagara +1.4 126.1 52% 56–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.