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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–5 on winners spread MAE 8.2 17 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Southern +2.4 158.3 65% 89–85 ✗
Oregon @ Rutgers -5.9 142.7 27% 85–88 ✗
Yale @ Brown -8.6 141.4 20% 70–53 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay +0.8 145.1 53% 76–79 ✓
Dartmouth @ Harvard +4.7 143.1 70% 76–68 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Princeton +0.1 137.0 53% 76–78 ✓
William & Mary @ Charleston -1.6 150.0 47% 79–88 ✗
Lamar @ SE Louisiana -0.3 135.1 48% 52–60 ✗
Texas Southern @ Grambling +11.8 145.6 86% 67–84 ✓
Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.0 139.8 47% 67–80 ✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +10.2 145.4 83% 72–74 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ McNeese +6.2 143.6 73% 64–66 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -10.1 139.4 15% 71–51 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston Christian -1.6 128.3 34% 81–65 ✓
East Texas A&M @ New Orleans +7.9 147.7 80% 73–83 ✓
USC @ Michigan State +7.8 149.4 77% 51–80 ✓
Massachusetts @ Ohio +1.7 150.0 62% 83–86 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.