You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–7 on winners spread MAE 7.2 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Dakota @ Western Illinois +4.9 137.8 71% 80–92 ✓
Chicago State @ Coastal Carolina +4.3 146.1 66% 74–70 ✗
Colgate @ Boston University -3.3 144.0 43% 64–51 ✓
Duke @ Virginia Tech +0.9 135.0 56% 75–78 ✓
Oakland @ Detroit Mercy +5.3 157.7 71% 76–67 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Hartford -12.1 140.2 14% 76–52 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central +5.6 137.2 71% 59–58 ✗
Coppin State @ Howard +6.3 155.8 79% 76–90 ✓
Norfolk State @ Morgan State -0.4 149.7 50% 71–77 ✗
Delaware State @ South Carolina State +4.0 150.7 49% 88–85 ✗
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +8.8 133.3 83% 58–59 ✓
Grambling @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -2.0 132.8 43% 77–70 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State +11.0 148.1 88% 68–76 ✓
Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -8.2 138.8 17% 84–70 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alabama State +0.2 140.8 44% 71–65 ✗
Kansas @ Baylor +3.3 149.3 69% 69–75 ✓
New Mexico @ Nevada +2.3 147.9 66% 94–97 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M -2.4 135.6 42% 59–67 ✗
Penn State @ Rutgers +6.4 130.5 74% 45–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.