Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | DETM -213 OAK +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -8.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -5.2 (-14.2) | 157.9 (-14.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -6.0 (-15.0) | 154.7 (-11.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -5.5 (-14.5) | 155.4 (-12.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -5.3 (-14.3) | 157.7 (-14.7) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#212) | -6.8 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#252) | -0.74 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#210) | -1.12 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#249) | 0.462 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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