Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -275 PSU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +20 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -8.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -5.9 (+14.1) | 131.8 (-21.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -7.8 (+12.2) | 128.7 (-18.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -5.8 (+14.2) | 129.8 (-19.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -6.4 (+13.6) | 130.5 (-20.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RUTG 74 – 62 PSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | RUTG 85 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PSU 80 – 72 RUTG |
| Dec 11, 2024 | RUTG 80 – 76 PSU |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PSU 61 – 46 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#14) | 9.5 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#50) | 1.76 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#50) | 2.45 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#50) | 0.565 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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