Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -700 FAMU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +1 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -10.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -8.8 (-7.8) | 134.3 (-17.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -8.7 (-7.7) | 131.8 (-14.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -8.7 (-7.7) | 134.2 (-17.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -8.8 (-7.8) | 133.3 (-16.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAMU 70 – 60 JKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JKST 80 – 60 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | JKST 66 – 65 FAMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JKST 91 – 76 FAMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FAMU 76 – 71 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-2 | 4-7 |
| Away | 6-14 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#321) | -16.1 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#311) | -3.41 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#332) | -4.82 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#314) | 0.366 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 25.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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