Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | ALCN -450 BCU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | ALCN -12.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -10.9 (-2.9) | 147.8 (-3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -10.6 (-2.6) | 146.5 (-2.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -11.2 (-3.2) | 148.6 (-4.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -11.0 (-3.0) | 148.1 (-4.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ALCN 57 – 55 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | BCU 82 – 73 ALCN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BCU 69 – 60 ALCN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ALCN 78 – 74 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ALCN 70 – 61 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 10-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#265) | -14.9 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#195) | -2.21 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#188) | -2.83 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#196) | 0.358 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.