Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BU +240 COLG -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +13 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -3.4 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-32.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -4.0 (-9.0) | 142.3 (-27.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -3.6 (-9.4) | 137.8 (-22.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -2.4 (-10.6) | 143.1 (-28.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -3.3 (-9.7) | 144.0 (-29.0) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 17-1 |
| Home | 9-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-11 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#245) | 2.6 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#268) | 0.28 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#278) | 0.57 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#259) | 0.518 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 58.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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