Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -450 COPP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +14 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -7.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -6.2 (+7.8) | 155.6 (+10.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -5.8 (+8.2) | 154.1 (+11.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -5.9 (+8.1) | 155.6 (+10.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -6.3 (+7.7) | 155.8 (+10.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HOW 90 – 70 COPP |
| Feb 2, 2026 | HOW 72 – 53 COPP |
| Feb 25, 2025 | COPP 72 – 61 HOW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | HOW 90 – 75 COPP |
| Feb 27, 2024 | HOW 78 – 69 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#273) | -10.1 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#223) | -1.03 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#238) | -1.41 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#238) | 0.449 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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