The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–5 on winners spread MAE 7.8 17 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cornell @ Columbia -13.2 148.6 14% 102–85 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +11.5 143.9 86% 73–77 ✓
Hofstra @ Towson +0.1 139.2 45% 47–68 ✓
Dartmouth @ Harvard +9.9 133.0 81% 60–59 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ La Salle +1.1 148.0 54% 71–59 ✗
Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart +2.6 150.6 62% 51–54 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan State -1.7 133.1 50% 64–63 ✓
UTEP @ Charlotte +9.9 130.0 75% 60–58 ✗
George Washington @ George Mason +6.7 143.5 78% 78–75 ✗
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M +3.4 143.0 66% 69–61 ✗
William & Mary @ Charleston +14.1 144.0 87% 54–82 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Florida A&M +0.4 128.3 59% 59–60 ✓
Brown @ Yale +11.3 134.4 85% 78–81 ✓
Hartford @ UMBC +17.3 145.4 90% 62–87 ✓
Illinois @ Minnesota -10.3 137.3 17% 78–60 ✓
Delaware @ Northeastern +0.6 138.1 53% 58–59 ✓
UC Davis @ UC San Diego -3.9 138.1 34% 78–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.