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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–6 on winners spread MAE 8.2 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Virginia Tech -1.5 147.7 44% 77–67 ✓
Boston University @ Holy Cross -3.8 134.8 36% 63–65 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State -0.3 136.9 49% 69–66 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +16.1 146.9 93% 73–83 ✓
Howard @ Coppin State -7.4 139.0 25% 81–66 ✓
South Carolina State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -0.4 145.8 48% 63–53 ✓
Jackson State @ Florida A&M -4.7 146.9 33% 86–88 ✗
New Orleans @ Lamar +13.9 164.1 90% 73–98 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ East Texas A&M -3.0 134.9 39% 69–54 ✓
Northwestern State @ McNeese +24.4 143.6 99% 65–89 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian +0.1 138.4 50% 80–58 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Grambling +6.5 151.3 72% 86–70 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Southern +25.6 134.3 99% 54–78 ✓
Alabama State @ Texas Southern +2.1 127.1 57% 55–56 ✓
Houston @ Texas -10.6 127.7 17% 76–72 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Prairie View A&M +9.9 149.6 82% 76–87 ✓
Alcorn State @ Bethune-Cookman +3.3 156.7 62% 70–67 ✗
South Carolina @ Tennessee +12.6 135.9 87% 63–59 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.