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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.5
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Columbia
@
Marist
|
+10.1 | 137.9 | 85% | 39–52 | ✓ |
UL Monroe
@
Tulane
|
+17.1 | 144.7 | 88% | 60–75 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
UT Martin
|
+9.6 | 142.3 | 83% | 83–86 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Virginia Tech
|
+13.7 | 130.0 | 87% | 57–67 | ✓ |
Omaha
@
Mississippi State
|
+25.5 | 132.7 | 90% | 54–74 | ✓ |
Incarnate Word
@
UTSA
|
+3.7 | 135.1 | 69% | 62–68 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Kansas
|
+17.0 | 145.6 | 88% | 55–87 | ✓ |
Troy
@
Arkansas
|
+9.3 | 140.7 | 86% | 61–74 | ✓ |
Southeast Missouri State
@
Milwaukee
|
+1.1 | 140.7 | 60% | 68–84 | ✓ |
Longwood
@
San Diego
|
+1.7 | 147.2 | 58% | 68–71 | ✓ |
Pittsburgh
@
Northwestern
|
+11.4 | 129.9 | 78% | 87–58 | ✗ |
Seattle U
@
Washington
|
-4.7 | 142.8 | 39% | 66–77 | ✗ |
Cal Poly
@
Pacific
|
+8.7 | 144.0 | 70% | 62–58 | ✗ |
Sam Houston
@
Nevada
|
-2.4 | 131.4 | 41% | 60–78 | ✗ |
Long Island University
@
St. John's
|
+25.3 | 152.1 | 91% | 68–95 | ✓ |
Furman
@
App State
|
-1.2 | 141.2 | 35% | 65–61 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.