Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TULN -3300 ULM +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -21.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -16.6 (-1.6) | 146.1 (-11.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -15.2 (-0.2) | 144.2 (-9.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -15.6 (-0.6) | 145.1 (-10.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -17.1 (-2.1) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | TULN 80 – 64 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-4 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#166) | -13.8 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#167) | -2.97 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#188) | -3.97 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#159) | 0.342 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 40.1% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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