← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
11–2 on winners
spread MAE 8.5
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bellarmine
@
UCLA
|
+22.4 | 140.1 | 90% | 60–81 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Lehigh
|
+7.6 | 145.3 | 82% | 76–80 | ✓ |
Xavier
@
Gonzaga
|
+3.5 | 156.0 | 67% | 84–88 | ✓ |
Evansville
@
Fairfield
|
+2.9 | 127.9 | 66% | 56–63 | ✓ |
Northern Colorado
@
New Mexico
|
+16.3 | 156.2 | 89% | 74–98 | ✓ |
Florida State
@
Nebraska
|
+6.8 | 134.0 | 78% | 58–75 | ✓ |
North Texas
@
UNC Wilmington
|
-3.3 | 118.7 | 37% | 51–55 | ✗ |
Dartmouth
@
UTSA
|
+2.3 | 143.0 | 55% | 78–77 | ✗ |
Florida
@
West Virginia
|
+7.1 | 149.0 | 77% | 55–84 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
UConn
|
+4.0 | 133.7 | 67% | 53–71 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Portland State
|
+4.1 | 142.8 | 70% | 71–83 | ✓ |
UC Davis
@
Boston University
|
-4.4 | 141.4 | 36% | 81–70 | ✓ |
Grambling
@
Dartmouth
|
-2.0 | 143.1 | 40% | 73–49 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.