Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -3300 BELL +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +21 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -27.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -25.4 (-4.4) | 140.2 (+0.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -22.4 (-1.4) | 140.1 (+0.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -23.8 (-2.8) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -25.5 (-4.5) | 143.5 (-2.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2021 | UCLA 75 – 62 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 9-9 |
| Home | 17-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 9-2 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.7 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#7) | -4.3 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#120) | -1.01 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#93) | -1.87 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#64) | 0.436 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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