Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | UTSA -275 UIW +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +6 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UTSA -5.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTSA -3.7 (+2.3) | 135.1 (-5.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTSA -3.6 (+2.4) | 136.8 (-6.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTSA -3.2 (+2.8) | 135.2 (-5.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTSA -3.6 (+2.4) | 135.6 (-5.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2023 | UTSA 90 – 80 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-10 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#304) | -6.2 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#286) | -0.07 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#238) | -1.38 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#324) | 0.503 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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