Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Allen Fieldhouse · November 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KU -25.5 Home covered
O/U 141.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +32 142 Won
Massey KU -18.6 (+13.4)
Massey Totals 146.7 (-4.7)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML KU -13.8 (+18.2) 145.1 (-3.1) 88%
Model 4 ML KU -17.0 (+15.0) 145.6 (-3.6) 88%
Model 3 ML KU -13.9 (+18.1) 144.4 (-2.4) 87%
Baseline ML KU -14.0 (+18.0) 143.5 (-1.5) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 18, 2022 KU 8356 TXSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU TXSO
Overall 28-8 14-21
Conference 13-5 7-11
Home 15-1 7-6
Away 7-4 3-13
Neutral 6-3 4-2
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 67.7
Avg Pts Against 68.1 73.2
Massey 7.4 (#60) -4.6 (#255)
Bradley-Terry 2.63 (#25) -0.21 (#200)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.24 (#48) -1.18 (#246)
RPI 0.669 (#17) 0.518 (#150)
Shooting & Four Factors KU TXSO
FG% 44.8% 37.7%
3PT% 33.3% 27.1%
REB / G 40.1 36.3
OREB / G 11.6 12.4
AST / TO 1.38 0.55
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 41.4%
TOV% 17.5% 20.9%
ORB% 30.3% 29.8%
FT Rate 16.1% 16.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.1% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 18.9%
DRB% 70.7% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 21.7%

Game Analysis

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