Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | KU -10000 TXSO +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +27 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | KU -19.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -14.8 (+12.2) | 142.7 (-3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -14.9 (+12.1) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -15.3 (+11.7) | 143.4 (-4.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -15.8 (+11.2) | 143.2 (-4.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2022 | KU 87 – 55 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 19-1 | 7-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 18.8 (#6) | -0.5 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#3) | -0.26 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.27 (#3) | -0.31 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.649 (#1) | 0.509 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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