You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
(1) Kansas Jayhawks
83 56
FINAL Neutral NCAA Tournament
(16) Texas Southern Tigers
Dickies Arena (Neutral) · March 18, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KU -21.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money KU -10000 / TXSO +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +27 139 Won
Massey KU -19.4 (+7.6)
Massey Totals 143.7 (-4.7)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 99%
Baseline Plus ML KU -18.6 (+8.4) 144.4 (-5.4) 90%
Model 4 ML KU -17.4 (+9.6) 145.5 (-6.5) 90%
Model 3 ML KU -17.6 (+9.4) 143.1 (-4.1) 90%
Baseline ML KU -18.8 (+8.2) 142.8 (-3.8) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 29, 2022 KU 8755 TXSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU TXSO
Overall 34-6 19-13
Conference 14-4 13-5
Home 19-1 7-2
Away 6-4 8-10
Neutral 9-1 4-1
Last 5 5-0 5-0
Streak W11 L1
Avg Pts For 78.2 69.0
Avg Pts Against 67.2 66.1
Massey 18.8 (#6) -0.5 (#176)
Bradley-Terry 3.48 (#3) -0.26 (#200)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.27 (#3) -0.31 (#202)
RPI 0.649 (#1) 0.509 (#157)
Shooting & Four Factors KU TXSO
FG% 48.1% 43.6%
3PT% 35.5% 31.6%
REB / G 37.4 39.7
OREB / G 11.1 12.0
AST / TO 1.24 0.72
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.1% 48.6%
TOV% 17.8% 21.3%
ORB% 33.4% 33.4%
FT Rate 23.8% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 44.8%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 17.3%
DRB% 71.3% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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