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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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1–2 on winners spread MAE 14.2 36 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Central Michigan @ UIC	—	—	—	72–74	—
Radford @ Norfolk State	—	—	—	54–57	—
Nicholls @ Santa Clara	-2.3	137.0	52%	57–73	✗
William & Mary @ Old Dominion	—	—	—	78–86	—
Texas Southern @ Oklahoma State	—	—	—	65–85	—
Tulsa @ TCU	—	—	—	65–70	—
Louisiana @ Baylor	—	—	—	82–112	—
Virginia Tech @ Villanova	—	—	—	81–73	—
Notre Dame @ Michigan State	—	—	—	70–80	—
Montana @ USC	—	—	—	62–76	—
Utah Valley @ BYU	—	—	—	60–82	—
Eastern Washington @ Washington State	—	—	—	68–71	—
UMass Lowell @ Ohio State	—	—	—	64–74	—
Richmond @ Kentucky	—	—	—	76–64	—
South Carolina @ Tulsa	—	—	—	69–58	—
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Iowa State	—	—	—	63–80	—
Florida A&M @ Georgia	—	—	—	75–85	—
Lipscomb @ Tulane	—	—	—	66–68	—
Mount St. Mary's @ Maryland	+8.1	131.9	81%	61–79	✓
Northwestern State @ Louisiana Tech	—	—	—	77–91	—
Boise State @ Sam Houston	—	—	—	86–55	—
Seattle U @ Air Force	—	—	—	63–45	—
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M	—	—	—	53–82	—
Alabama A&M @ Samford	—	—	—	78–76	—
Liberty @ TCU	—	—	—	52–56	—
Houston Christian @ Arizona State	—	—	—	77–100	—
Hofstra @ Rutgers	—	—	—	56–70	—
Arkansas State @ Morehead State	—	—	—	61–69	—
North Dakota State @ Creighton	—	—	—	58–69	—
Jacksonville State @ South Alabama	—	—	—	77–73	—
Texas Tech @ Houston	—	—	—	53–64	—
San Francisco @ Rhode Island	-1.4	141.7	54%	71–84	✗
Washington @ Baylor	—	—	—	52–86	—
Oakland @ Michigan	—	—	—	71–81	—
North Florida @ Miami	—	—	—	59–77	—
Prairie View A&M @ Louisville	—	—	—	64–86	—

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.