You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–5 on winners spread MAE 11.2 15 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Peter's @ Tennessee +16.2 131.5 88% 49–83 ✓
NC State @ Texas Tech +2.0 145.5 58% 80–67 ✗
Drake @ Washington State +0.7 142.3 49% 61–66 ✓
Samford @ Kansas +6.4 152.2 70% 89–93 ✓
Northwestern @ Florida Atlantic +1.7 145.3 57% 77–65 ✗
Colgate @ Baylor +12.1 140.1 85% 67–92 ✓
UAB @ San Diego State +7.3 143.6 77% 65–69 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Marquette +11.6 152.7 84% 69–87 ✓
New Mexico @ Clemson -2.7 147.5 38% 56–77 ✗
Stetson @ UConn +19.9 149.2 88% 52–91 ✓
Yale @ Auburn +11.0 143.5 82% 78–76 ✗
Colorado @ Florida -0.8 156.6 45% 102–100 ✓
Texas A&M @ Nebraska +1.2 146.3 56% 98–83 ✗
Vermont @ Duke +8.7 131.8 80% 47–64 ✓
Grambling @ Purdue +17.1 141.2 87% 50–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.