Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | WSU -111 DRKE -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -1.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -0.7 (+4.3) | 142.3 (-15.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -0.2 (+5.2) | 139.5 (-12.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -0.2 (+4.8) | 141.7 (-14.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -0.5 (+4.5) | 143.3 (-16.3) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 16-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#43) | 10.8 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#39) | 2.27 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#46) | 2.58 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#55) | 0.620 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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