Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM +100 UNM -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +21 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -2.2 (+23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -2.7 (+23.7) | 147.5 (-14.5) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -1.6 (+22.6) | 145.3 (-12.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -1.6 (+22.6) | 148.8 (-15.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -2.9 (+23.9) | 147.6 (-14.6) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#34) | 14.6 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#35) | 2.29 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#27) | 2.80 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#37) | 0.596 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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