Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU -275 UAB +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -9.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -7.3 (-3.3) | 143.6 (-9.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -7.2 (-3.2) | 144.3 (-10.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -7.6 (-3.6) | 145.3 (-11.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -7.3 (-3.3) | 145.1 (-11.1) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#23) | 4.3 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#16) | 1.30 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#14) | 1.36 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#11) | 0.568 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.