The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–2 on winners spread MAE 7.7 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Alabama @ Alabama A&M -6.3 144.9 25% 78–71 ✓
Columbia @ Lafayette +10.2 128.8 82% 57–45 ✗
Yale @ Fairfield -7.1 129.0 20% 77–64 ✓
Rice @ Texas +21.6 148.6 90% 81–87 ✓
South Florida @ Northern Iowa +1.8 134.0 52% 72–69 ✗
Liberty @ Oral Roberts +9.2 146.6 79% 70–84 ✓
Monmouth @ Syracuse +16.2 143.3 90% 71–86 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Gonzaga +21.4 151.2 90% 67–88 ✓
Arizona State @ Creighton -2.5 137.9 39% 73–71 ✓
UC San Diego @ San Diego +5.0 145.3 68% 58–84 ✓
Kennesaw State @ San Diego State +11.2 141.6 85% 54–88 ✓
San Francisco @ New Mexico +6.3 148.0 75% 64–67 ✓
Longwood @ St. Francis Brooklyn -4.1 134.7 33% 63–57 ✓
Coppin State @ George Washington +6.4 159.0 73% 71–83 ✓
VMI @ American University +13.8 143.3 88% 61–69 ✓
Furman @ NC State +12.2 151.0 86% 73–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.