What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–7 on winners spread MAE 6.0 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Francis @ Wagner -0.7 124.7 51% 68–70 ✗
William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington +4.1 150.3 64% 74–85 ✓
Brown @ Cornell +7.9 151.0 80% 83–82 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +7.2 137.2 72% 82–67 ✗
Columbia @ Princeton +5.8 151.1 74% 67–71 ✓
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +4.5 142.7 66% 78–70 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Long Island University +7.1 127.4 72% 63–72 ✓
Dartmouth @ Yale +16.2 152.3 88% 67–83 ✓
New Orleans @ Northwestern State +8.1 143.9 80% 61–73 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +3.6 138.6 68% 78–74 ✗
SE Louisiana @ East Texas A&M -7.0 133.9 22% 76–68 ✓
Hofstra @ Drexel +1.5 125.6 56% 55–60 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Southern +1.0 142.5 59% 73–81 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ McNeese +16.7 130.4 87% 59–79 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico +17.9 155.2 90% 67–95 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Incarnate Word +0.1 142.2 49% 85–78 ✗
Georgetown @ Villanova +6.3 139.3 73% 64–63 ✗
Rutgers @ Penn State +7.4 153.0 77% 72–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.