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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–5 on winners spread MAE 10.0 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Columbia @ Marist +8.4 136.7 74% 39–52 ✓
UL Monroe @ Tulane +15.2 144.2 88% 60–75 ✓
McNeese @ UT Martin +11.8 141.7 85% 83–86 ✓
Minnesota @ Virginia Tech +16.1 134.1 86% 57–67 ✓
Omaha @ Mississippi State +27.1 128.8 90% 54–74 ✓
Incarnate Word @ UTSA +3.2 135.2 62% 62–68 ✓
Texas Southern @ Kansas +14.0 143.5 87% 55–87 ✓
Troy @ Arkansas +9.3 144.5 82% 61–74 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Milwaukee +2.5 135.9 63% 68–84 ✓
Longwood @ San Diego +3.1 148.5 64% 68–71 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Northwestern +12.8 127.4 78% 87–58 ✗
Seattle U @ Washington -2.5 142.2 50% 66–77 ✗
Cal Poly @ Pacific +10.7 150.1 82% 62–58 ✗
Sam Houston @ Nevada -2.4 130.6 55% 60–78 ✗
Long Island University @ St. John's +27.3 150.7 91% 68–95 ✓
Furman @ App State +0.7 146.6 51% 65–61 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.