Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–5 on winners spread MAE 10.1 15 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Peter's @ Tennessee +18.9 128.5 96% 49–83 ✓
NC State @ Texas Tech +4.3 149.2 65% 80–67 ✗
Drake @ Washington State +1.1 144.5 54% 61–66 ✓
Samford @ Kansas +8.4 158.2 78% 89–93 ✓
Northwestern @ Florida Atlantic +1.7 150.9 56% 77–65 ✗
Colgate @ Baylor +14.4 143.5 90% 67–92 ✓
UAB @ San Diego State +10.0 147.4 82% 65–69 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Marquette +15.6 159.3 92% 69–87 ✓
New Mexico @ Clemson -1.8 155.5 43% 56–77 ✗
Stetson @ UConn +23.2 148.1 98% 52–91 ✓
Yale @ Auburn +13.2 145.0 89% 78–76 ✗
Colorado @ Florida -1.2 164.2 46% 102–100 ✓
Texas A&M @ Nebraska +1.6 146.1 56% 98–83 ✗
Vermont @ Duke +11.7 135.0 86% 47–64 ✓
Grambling @ Purdue +27.1 142.5 99% 50–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.