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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
11–7 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
18 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma State
@
West Virginia
|
+4.8 | 141.2 | 67% | 67–85 | ✓ |
Louisville
@
Duke
|
+22.0 | 133.3 | 98% | 62–79 | ✓ |
Howard
@
Morgan State
|
+0.2 | 144.7 | 51% | 76–89 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
Maryland Eastern Shore
|
-0.8 | 135.3 | 47% | 68–63 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
Delaware State
|
+1.7 | 151.9 | 56% | 68–69 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
Norfolk State
|
+16.4 | 160.5 | 93% | 69–62 | ✗ |
East Texas A&M
@
Nicholls
|
+8.4 | 143.9 | 78% | 72–71 | ✗ |
Hawai'i
@
Cal State Bakersfield
|
-5.3 | 119.1 | 32% | 61–50 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Texas Southern
|
+5.2 | 143.5 | 68% | 59–64 | ✓ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Alabama State
|
+6.3 | 140.2 | 72% | 70–65 | ✗ |
Kansas
@
TCU
|
+0.4 | 148.3 | 51% | 63–58 | ✗ |
Minnesota
@
Illinois
|
+20.1 | 134.5 | 97% | 69–78 | ✓ |
Florida A&M
@
Alabama A&M
|
+10.4 | 129.1 | 83% | 77–71 | ✗ |
Mississippi Valley State
@
Prairie View A&M
|
+13.8 | 130.7 | 90% | 65–67 | ✓ |
Cal State Fullerton
@
UC Santa Barbara
|
+4.9 | 129.4 | 67% | 74–60 | ✗ |
UC Riverside
@
Cal State Northridge
|
-6.1 | 132.7 | 29% | 96–76 | ✓ |
UC Irvine
@
Cal Poly
|
-10.7 | 129.7 | 17% | 59–56 | ✓ |
Villanova
@
Xavier
|
+8.6 | 149.3 | 78% | 64–63 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.