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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
14–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.4
15 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wofford
@
Charleston
|
+4.4 | 142.3 | 70% | 67–77 | ✓ |
The Citadel
@
Central Arkansas
|
+3.9 | 139.5 | 66% | 71–73 | ✓ |
SE Louisiana
@
Grambling
|
+1.8 | 136.3 | 45% | 75–65 | ✗ |
Grand Canyon
@
Louisiana Tech
|
+4.7 | 146.2 | 62% | 66–74 | ✓ |
California Baptist
@
Middle Tennessee
|
+4.3 | 151.3 | 67% | 64–75 | ✓ |
Alcorn State
@
Rice
|
+13.7 | 137.7 | 89% | 75–77 | ✓ |
Air Force
@
Northern Colorado
|
+9.1 | 139.0 | 83% | 76–81 | ✓ |
Montana
@
Northern Iowa
|
+9.6 | 144.7 | 81% | 76–104 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
Texas Tech
|
+26.6 | 147.7 | 91% | 50–86 | ✓ |
South Alabama
@
TCU
|
+11.4 | 134.8 | 84% | 49–58 | ✓ |
Tarleton State
@
UTEP
|
+14.4 | 131.1 | 90% | 62–67 | ✓ |
Southern Utah
@
New Mexico State
|
+2.8 | 144.0 | 71% | 69–72 | ✓ |
Drexel
@
Howard
|
-2.9 | 138.9 | 43% | 68–65 | ✓ |
DePaul
@
St. John's
|
+13.6 | 154.9 | 87% | 61–89 | ✓ |
North Florida
@
UNC Asheville
|
+2.5 | 161.2 | 67% | 81–95 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.