Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -100000 ORU +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +36 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -27.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -26.7 (+9.3) | 148.1 (-12.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -26.1 (+9.9) | 149.8 (-13.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -23.6 (+12.4) | 150.1 (-14.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -26.6 (+9.4) | 147.7 (-11.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | TTU 82 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 3-13 |
| Home | 15-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-2 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 82.0 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#29) | -9.2 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#96) | -1.93 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#67) | -2.31 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#89) | 0.397 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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